Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.027324 0.030040 0.032722 0.035564 0.038485 0.041394 0.044505
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.021421 0.025767 0.030177 0.034958 0.039971 0.045049 0.050563
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.017342 0.022737 0.028348 0.034548 0.041148 0.047918 0.055344
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.014021 0.020119 0.026619 0.033926 0.041807 0.049972 0.059003
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.011546 0.018172 0.025405 0.033663 0.042670 0.052077 0.062548
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.009876 0.016967 0.024878 0.034028 0.044095 0.054677 0.066511
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.007779 0.015081 0.023458 0.033300 0.044241 0.055821 0.068838
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.006327 0.013837 0.022681 0.033213 0.045018 0.057582 0.071763
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.004926 0.012517 0.021734 0.032868 0.045454 0.058923 0.074185
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003627 0.011182 0.020690 0.032352 0.045650 0.059959 0.076234
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002168 0.009387 0.018988 0.031008 0.044866 0.059878 0.077032
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001680 0.008973 0.018964 0.031596 0.046231 0.062132 0.080338
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000971 0.008132 0.018485 0.031781 0.047306 0.064250 0.083708
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000240 0.006863 0.017412 0.031269 0.047619 0.065570 0.086263
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.005771 0.016486 0.030887 0.048049 0.066993 0.088909
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004663 0.015430 0.030290 0.048189 0.068060 0.091130
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003835 0.014688 0.030037 0.048696 0.069508 0.093742
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003372 0.014447 0.030388 0.049886 0.071703 0.097154
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002483 0.013417 0.029688 0.049808 0.072440 0.098929
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001947 0.012889 0.029603 0.050436 0.073957 0.101546
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001380 0.012197 0.029271 0.050745 0.075092 0.103721
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000842 0.011410 0.028775 0.050834 0.075956 0.105575
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000233 0.010080 0.027484 0.049930 0.075662 0.106113